EconomyReal GDP growth over time
Real GDP growth was 2.2% annualized for Q2 2026. It was released on 07/30. That is 0.3 percentage points below the prior reading of 2.5%. A year earlier (Q2 2025) it was 3.8%.
Real GDP growth
−0.3%pReal gross domestic product: how much the US economy's output, without price changes, grew over the previous quarter, expressed as an annual rate. The Bureau of Economic Analysis publishes an advance estimate about a month after the quarter ends and revises it twice.
- Latest
- +2.2%
- Q2 data, released 07/30
- Change
- −0.3%p
- Before +2.5%
- A year earlier
- +3.8%
- Q2 2025−1.6%p
- 12-month range
- +0.2% ~ +4.4%
History
| Day | Real GDP growth | Marks |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2021 | +7.0% | Q4 2021 data |
| Q1 2022 | −1.0% | Q1 2022 data |
| Q2 2022 | +0.6% | Q2 2022 data |
| Q3 2022 | +2.9% | Q3 2022 data |
| Q4 2022 | +2.8% | Q4 2022 data |
| Q1 2023 | +2.9% | Q1 2023 data |
| Q2 2023 | +2.5% | Q2 2023 data |
| Q3 2023 | +4.7% | Q3 2023 data |
| Q4 2023 | +3.4% | Q4 2023 data |
| Q1 2024 | +0.8% | Q1 2024 data |
| Q2 2024 | +3.6% | Q2 2024 data |
| Q3 2024 | +3.3% | Q3 2024 data |
| Q4 2024 | +1.9% | Q4 2024 data, released 25/01/30 |
| Q1 2025 | −0.6% | Q1 2025 data, released 25/04/30 |
| Q2 2025 | +3.8% | Q2 2025 data, released 25/07/30 |
| Q3 2025 | +4.4% | Q3 2025 data, released 25/10/30 |
| Q4 2025 | +0.2% | Q4 2025 data, released 02/20 |
| Q1 | +2.5% | Q1 data, released 04/30 |
| Q2 | +2.2% | Q2 data, released 07/30 |
Next release09/30 (Wed) · Today
Release history
| Prior | Revision | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/30 | Q2 | +1.5% | +2.1% | −0.6%p | |
| 04/30 | Q1 | +2.1% | +0.5% | +1.6%p | |
| 02/20 | Q4 2025 | +0.5% | +4.4% | −3.9%p | |
| 25/10/30 | Q3 2025 | +4.4% | +3.8% | +0.6%p | |
| 25/07/30 | Q2 2025 | +3.8% | −0.6% | +4.4%p | |
| 25/04/30 | Q1 2025 | −0.6% | +1.9% | −2.5%p | |
| 25/01/30 | Q4 2024 | +1.9% | +3.3% | −1.4%p | |
| Not on file | Q3 2024 | +3.3% | +3.6% | −0.3%p | |
| Not on file | Q2 2024 | +3.6% | +0.8% | +2.8%p | |
| Not on file | Q1 2024 | +0.8% | +3.4% | −2.6%p | |
| Not on file | Q4 2023 | +3.4% | +4.7% | −1.3%p | |
| Not on file | Q3 2023 | +4.7% | +2.5% | +2.2%p | |
| Not on file | Q2 2023 | +2.5% | +2.9% | −0.4%p | |
| Not on file | Q1 2023 | +2.9% | +2.8% | +0.1%p | |
| Not on file | Q4 2022 | +2.8% | +2.9% | −0.1%p | |
| Not on file | Q3 2022 | +2.9% | +0.6% | +2.3%p | |
| Not on file | Q2 2022 | +0.6% | −1.0% | +1.6%p | |
| Not on file | Q1 2022 | −1.0% | +7.0% | −8.0%p | |
| Not on file | Q4 2021 | +7.0% | None | None |
Markets on release days
| Release day | 2-year yield | SPY |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30 | None | None |
| 08/26 | +2bp | +0.6% |
| 07/30 | +1bp | +1.4% |
| 06/25 | −2bp | −0.4% |
| 05/28 | −1bp | +0.6% |
| 04/30 | −4bp | +1.0% |
| 04/09 | −1bp | +0.6% |
| 03/13 | −3bp | −0.7% |
| 02/20 | +1bp | +0.7% |
| 01/22 | +1bp | +0.3% |
| 25/12/23 | +4bp | +0.4% |
| 25/10/30 | +2bp | −0.3% |
| 25/09/25 | +7bp | −0.5% |
| 25/08/28 | +3bp | +0.5% |
| 25/07/30 | +8bp | +0.4% |
| 25/06/26 | −4bp | +0.8% |
| 25/05/29 | −4bp | −1.1% |
| 25/04/30 | −5bp | +0.9% |
| 25/03/27 | −1bp | −0.1% |
| 25/02/27 | +2bp | −1.7% |
The same day's moves, not the release's effect. The 2-year yield in basis points; SPY from the day's close.